Scotland’s top polling expert: 1 in 7 Labour voters lending to Scottish Conservatives

Scotland’s top polling expert has suggested the Scottish Conservatives are gaining pro-UK voters who are tactically voting with their peach ballots to prevent an SNP majority and stop indyref2.

For the BBC website, Professor John Curtice wrote “the latest polls suggest that the SNP's chances of winning an overall majority remain in the balance.”

He added that more than 1 in 7 Labour voters, around 15 per cent, are lending their list votes to the Scottish Conservatives.

Curtice said: “However, it is Labour voters who are proving the least loyal on the regional ballot. Only two-thirds of the party's constituency supporters are backing it on the list. All the other parties are benefitting to some degree from this movement - but the biggest beneficiaries by far are the Conservatives.”

Professor Curtice’s current projections show Labour falling to just 20 seats, their worst result ever at Holyrood.

Scottish Conservative candidate for Glasgow, Annie Wells, said: “Scotland’s top polling expert projects that Labour are on course to fall further to their worst ever result.

“It’s clear that pro-UK voters are willing to lend their peach party ballots to the Scottish Conservatives, even just this one time, because it’s the only way to stop an SNP majority and stop indyref2.

“All the evidence from poll after poll confirms that Labour have no hope of stopping another referendum.

“They are too weak, especially on the list, to prevent the SNP gaining full control of the Scottish Parliament and wrecking Scotland’s recovery.”

Notes

Professor John Curtice comments here – https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-scotland-scotland-politics-56969880

He said: “However, it is Labour voters who are proving the least loyal on the regional ballot. Only two-thirds of the party's constituency supporters are backing it on the list.

“All the other parties are benefitting to some degree from this movement - but the biggest beneficiaries by far are the Conservatives.

“No less than 15% of those backing Labour on the constituency ballot are supporting the Conservatives on the list.”

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